Half a Movie, Half a Truth - 8/4/2025

This essay warns that unplanned interim analyses, like walking out of a movie before its twist, mislead decision-making and fuel avoidable failures in drug development.

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/half-movie-truth-brian-smith-xhure

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The Leadership Luck Game - 8/11/2025

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When All You Need Is Good Prediction: Beatles, God, and Missing Regressors - 7/28/2025